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Our attacking intent

WentToSchoolWith

Alan Waddle
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We are now bottom of the league for xG, with just 11.2 'expected' goals after 13 matches. I do not consider xG a perfect metric, but it represents us very well at the moment - we are expected to score less than a goal per game.

Worryingly, this has dropped off massively in the last 6 weeks or so. Since drawing at home to Millwall, we haven't managed to produce a single xG's worth of chances in a game (again, not a perfect metric, but look at the highlights of those games, and you'll notice our lack of clear cut opportunities), despite winning twice in that time.

Our goal today, both against Norwich, and Franco's against Blackburn were all moments of individual skill that cannot be relied upon moving forward.

I don't see Sheehan changing soon, is the problem. He sets us up well enough defensively, but we nearly always concede, and one goal is enough to beat us most weeks; two is practically a guarantee.

I'm so numb to watching our games at the moment, as I know exactly what to expect. People can defend Sheehan, and maybe he's somehow overperforming and we all overrate this squad, but I want my free time to be spent enjoying watching the Swans, and not gritting my teeth as we grind out a point away at Charlton or are absolutely battered by 21st place Southampton
 
I don't understand how they measure xG (and don't particularly care), but surely Key's chance near the end should have been practically a 1.0 on it's own, as that will surely be a goal most of the time.
 
I don't understand how they measure xG (and don't particularly care), but surely Key's chance near the end should have been practically a 1.0 on it's own, as that will surely be a goal most of the time.
Yeah, I'm surprised it's as low as it was. It considers defenders and keeper position, so it's basically impossible to get 1.0, that's the equivalent of a '100% chance' which just doesn't happen.

Think the Norwich equaliser from last week was 'only' like 0.95, and that was literally a tap in
 
Attacking is the hardest thing to get right. We have several new players up front and on the wing, and the existing players we already had we know can be very hit and miss. We probably need to persevere with some, but ship some of them on. And that's going to take time. I'm more than willing to give Sheehan until at least January to get that side of things right, maybe even the season.

Because at the other end, he has at least stopped us being the laughing stock we were under previous managers. I had started to become embarrassed about what we were under Williams and Martin. I'm not embarrassed anymore. And for me that's a start.
 
Yeah, I'm surprised it's as low as it was. It considers defenders and keeper position, so it's basically impossible to get 1.0, that's the equivalent of a '100% chance' which just doesn't happen.

Think the Norwich equaliser from last week was 'only' like 0.95, and that was literally a tap in
I suppose, as Key proved, there was still a chance he could miss. Anyway, we don’t need XG or any such measure. Our own eyes will do. We create next to naff all. Idah’s goal yesterday and both Vip’s last week were all miracle hits. That can’t be relied on.
 

Preston North End v Swansea City

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