Planet Swans ArchivesAnd if that 25-30% chance comes off then, as it stood this morning, Leeds would have found themselves in second place in League One – ahead of Doncaster by a marginally better goal difference.
Cramer believes that the chances of a return of the points are increasing after believing a few weeks back that there was no chance of them being returned. He told BBC Radio Leeds "A few weeks ago, I thought it was bleak.
"But having seen the legal documents, I think the prospects have improved. I think there's probably a 25-30% chance of winning.
"Although the actual arbitration proceedings are the subject of confidentiality, as night follows day what's in that legal document at the High Court will form the basis for the legal argument at the arbitration
"It's a very well presented case, and Leeds United have clearly worked very hard, which is not surprising as there's a huge amount at stake.
"There are significant hurdles to overcome. Probably the biggest hurdle is that Leeds actually signed a document to say they would take the Golden Share [a membership of the Football League which every club must have in order to compete] but they would accept the 15-point deduction.
"It's a tough one for the arbitration panel. I think where Leeds have got some comfort is that it's my understanding that the three-man panel is chaired by a very senior High Court judge or a Court of Appeal judge, so there's going to be some sanity to the arbitration proceedings and I think they will apply a legalistic approach to them."
"They may carve it up – they might say 'Well hold on, 15 points is too much, we've got to give them something' and bring it down to eight, seven or six."
