This.Y11 have tried to buy Cardiff before. Now it suits the WRU to offer them sweeteners to get the number of teams to 3and to avoid any protracted tenders or legal challenges. Y11 also tried to move Ospreys to Ealing (yes, you read that right) and merge with Llanelli, so they have form.
The irony is, Cardiff don’t want them. So it’s not cut and dried just yet. It’s the obvious move though.
I had a feeling it would happen for the reasons you’ve outlined, give Y11 a sweetheart deal and it closes down potential threats of litigation/challenges etc etc which could haemorrhage WRU cash and be embarrassing for the Union.
If I owned the Ospreys and was a fan I’d tell the WRU to do one, but if the owners are only interested in making money it wouldn’t make much difference which team or “franchise” they owned because it would all about the bottom line.
The grey area is when owners are fans AND business people, they will want to keep the O’s going but will also have an eye on the bottom line. If they’ve been told the O’s are goners, they’ll be torn in 2 but the default position will probably financial.
The O’s have been the most successful Region and have produced the lions share of Wales’s players over the last 20 years. At the next level down, I can see Bridgend falling in to the Blues Region, Swansea falling in to Scarlets region leaving Aberavon out on the periphery of both regions, - probably the Scarlets.
Sad times.