What are Reform policies

[jack_lord]

Reform are gradually (and unwittingly) manoeuvring the UK into a position whereby a split of the constituent nations becomes increasingly likely. They are not strategists - see Brexit.

That is something I had not really thought about but, by golly, I think you are tap dead centre

 

[Frankie Burrows Cap]

Reform are gradually (and unwittingly) manoeuvring the UK into a position whereby a split of the constituent nations becomes increasingly likely. They are not strategists - see Brexit.

I think you’re probably correct that many of those at ground level including the newly elected councillors don’t have a strategy, but I think it’s very naive to suggest that Farage and those funding the party don’t know exactly what they’re doing both now and in 2016.

 

[Ringwood]

Most people vote for how it effects them personally or professionally. Do people really vote for what is happening globally or religious persuasion?

 

[exiledclaseboy]

Most people vote for how it effects them personally or professionally. Do people really vote for what is happening globally or religious persuasion?

Some do. Some don’t. Some vote for how it affects them. Some vote on how it may affect others close to them or less fortunate than them. Some scrutinise manifestos and decide that way, Some vote the way they always have. In short, people are different. I’m not sure your first sentence is accurate for “most” people.

 

[JustJack]

From what I've read a party needs at least 13% in a constituency to get a seat under the proportional system

I think Plaid are polling above that in the majority of areas so a vote for them is safe to block Farage out

 

[Frankie Burrows Cap]

From what I've read a party needs at least 13% in a constituency to get a seat under the proportional system

I think Plaid are polling above that in the majority of areas so a vote for them is safe to block Farage out

Not sure where you’ve got that figure from but it’ll likely be different in each of the 16 constituencies.

The 5th and 6th seats in each area are going to be incredibly tight based on the polling.

Link below shows how the 6 seats are allocated.

https://senedd.wales/senedd-now/senedd-blog/senedd-election-2026-what-is-the-d-hondt-formula-and-how-does-it-work/

 

[JustJack]

Its just the way the D'Hondt formula breaks down, things can change but its a strong rule of thumb

'Each party ranks its candidates from 1 to 6. The share of the vote the party receives determines how many from that list make it into the Senedd. To win one seat, a party needs approximately 13% of the vote in any given constituency'

Strategies for savvy voters: tactical voting and the 2026 Senedd election

Wales is redesigning its democracy – new rules, new map, new maths – in 2026 tactical voting could shape the future like never before

bylines.cymru

 

[Frankie Burrows Cap]

Its just the way the D'Hondt formula breaks down, things can change but its a strong rule of thumb

'Each party ranks its candidates from 1 to 6. The share of the vote the party receives determines how many from that list make it into the Senedd. To win one seat, a party needs approximately 13% of the vote in any given constituency'

Strategies for savvy voters: tactical voting and the 2026 Senedd election

Wales is redesigning its democracy – new rules, new map, new maths – in 2026 tactical voting could shape the future like never before

bylines.cymru

You’d be very unlucky to not win a seat with 13% I agree, but if the current projections that I posted on the other thread are correct you could even pick one up with as little as 10% in some areas.

I guess we’ll all know in less than 48 hours