Not to blow smoke up our arse, but Not The Top 20 podcast did a transfer rundown yesterday and were absolutely amazed that we managed to bag Galbraith. Said he's genuinely a Premier League quality player already - alongside Burgess, think we could be a proper dark horse this season
Well. I cant bet with the UK bookmakers cos I'm in the US. And I cant with the American bookies either cos my state is one of the ones that deems gambling illegal. So I cant get a bet on.
But, as an ex bookie in my younger days my view is the 12/1 on offer
for a top 6 finish resulting in promotion is grossly over priced.
We are as low as 8/1 with some and even that is worthy of a pop for top 6 finish.
We were one of the top form teams in the last 1/3rd of last season and it looks like we have done some good business strengthening the team
Wrexham at 5/1 is not because the bookies think they are a genuine 5/1 shot. Its because they are anticipating the name will generate a ton of bets on them.
When bookies 1st open a book part of the way they quote odds is dependent on who do they think a lot of money is going to be bet on. So they quote odds shorter than the actual true odds and provide longer odds on some others to bring in bets on those others to balance their book.
Wrexham & Charlton being case in point.
Wrexham have done little in the transfer window so far.
Wrexham 5/1 won 27 games last season
Charlton 33/1 won 25 games last season
That's the classic we will drastically shorten the real odds on one and offer longer odds on the other to try and get people betting on the other one to balance our risk and liabilities
If you can get double figures on us to be in the top 6 and you like having a flutter then 12/1 is a lump it on situation not just a regular amount bet.
Bear in mind the window still has a long way to go. What happens if that No 9 comes in.