Senedd Election 2026

[Smurph]

That may also be possible. Although the right wing vote tends to skew older and older people are always more likely to vote.

When push comes to shove half of them won't be arsed. Let's hope what happened in Caerphilly is matched throughout the rest of Wales

 

[jack_lord]

is there a poll for Swansea Gower constituency?
Im under the impression 2 Plaid 2 Deform and what other single seats?
Fran being number 1 on the Deform list is going to get a seat and paid 75K for her outrageous views. People on benefits need putting down but before they are put down they will vote for her

 

[Frankie Burrows Cap]

is there a poll for Swansea Gower constituency?
Im under the impression 2 Plaid 2 Deform and what other single seats?
Fran being number 1 on the Deform list is going to get a seat and paid 75K for her outrageous views. People on benefits need putting down but before they are put down they will vote for her

The samples will be so small in each area that I’d take it with a pinch of salt… but this suggests Plaid 3, Reform 2, Conservatives 1

Senedd Election Calculator 2026 | Welsh Parliament Projections

Senedd 2026 seat calculator using D'Hondt proportional representation. Project Welsh Parliament seats with latest polling.

www.pollcheck.co.uk

I’d be amazed if Plaid got near the 38-39% of the vote that’s being predicted based on the previous history of voting in the 3 old Swansea constituencies.

 

[exiledclaseboy]

We really have no clue how tomorrow will pan out given the new system. It’s gonna be exciting.

 

[Frankie Burrows Cap]

We really have no clue how tomorrow will pan out given the new system. It’s gonna be exciting.

Results in each area due to come out between 2pm and 5pm on Friday from what I’ve read today.

 

[jack_lord]

It is ironic that Wales has been fighting against Tory controlled funding of our nation and the quirky way that works and finally seem to be making headway and the amateur party that has one "policy" is potentially going to scrape a win and really screw Wales. How will a Labour government deal with Plaid if they get across the line with an alliance with the greens and Labour? It is also ironic that the reform scaremingers saying vote Plaid you get Labour when it is now possible that they could make a deal with another party and Labour will be a non entity here for at least 5 years.

 

[Malaga]

Just a quick reminder

 

[exiledclaseboy]

Today’s the day. Come on Wales. Do the right thing. Don’t become the first part of the UK’s MAGA experiment.

 

[monmouth]

Today’s the day. Come on Wales. Do the right thing. Don’t become the first part of the UK’s MAGA experiment.

Depressingly I'm having a carpet fitted (that's not the depressing bit). The fitter and his brother are here and they are super nice blokes and not stupid. So far they've thrown every single Fartage and daily mail talking point at me. As with all things politics these days, my retorts fall on deaf ears...I suppose as their arguments do on mine. They will vote reform because Fartage 'tells it how it is' FFS. It doesn't register that the things they are so angry about, are outside the control of the Senedd. There was a little flicker when I ventured that anyone but PC doesn't care about Wales and is tied to London, but not enough to register.

It will simply come down to if there are enough sentient folk to swing it over the entrenched opinion - on both sides. Elections are no longer about debate, they are about which entrenched hard wired tribe is bigger.

 

[Neath_Jack]

Uppafuckingplaid bois bach

 

[Neath_Jack]

Depressingly I'm having a carpet fitted (that's not the depressing bit). The fitter and his brother are here and they are super nice blokes and not stupid. So far they've thrown every single Fartage and daily mail talking point at me. As with all things politics these days, my retorts fall on deaf ears...I suppose as their arguments do on mine. They will vote reform because Fartage 'tells it how it is' FFS. It doesn't register that the things they are so angry about, are outside the control of the Senedd. There was a little flicker when I ventured that anyone but PC doesn't care about Wales and is tied to London, but not enough to register.

It will simply come down to if there are enough sentient folk to swing it over the entrenched opinion - on both sides. Elections are no longer about debate, they are about which entrenched hard wired tribe is bigger.

Try working in the construction industry, Mon.

 

[jack123]

Went up earlier, my vote went to Plaid. Be interesting to see the voter turnout out, because personally I have never seen it so busy.

 

[jack_lord]

About to head up to the station. I quite liked the green lady that knocked the door, the only one that did. I quite like their policies too. Plaid policies are decent at first glance but the devil is in the detail (20 mph for Labour which thankfully has seen a number of local roads revert thatnks to the pressure of the election) and Labour policies are similar to Green and Plaid but provide more beef on health. Big promises which are not going to be delivered unless they can get some sort of deal with whoever actually wins but they need to have some seats in the Senedd. That is where I am at. I was going to vote Plaid but they have more than enough "promised" vote to get them at least two seats so have Labour got enough to get 1 in this area if our house throws in its quota.

 

[Neath_Jack]

About to head up to the station. I quite liked the green lady that knocked the door, the only one that did. I quite like their policies too. Plaid policies are decent at first glance but the devil is in the detail (20 mph for Labour which thankfully has seen a number of local roads revert thatnks to the pressure of the election) and Labour policies are similar to Green and Plaid but provide more beef on health. Big promises which are not going to be delivered unless they can get some sort of deal with whoever actually wins but they need to have some seats in the Senedd. That is where I am at. I was going to vote Plaid but they have more than enough "promised" vote to get them at least two seats so have Labour got enough to get 1 in this area if our house throws in its quota.

Hopefully Labour get completely wiped out, they don’t deserve a single seat.

 

[J_B]

The 20mph issue was much ado about nothing in my opinion. When I phoned Direct Line and renewed the two car policy in March I was pleasantly surprised that it was £90 cheaper this year than last. I asked what had happened and was told that fewer and smaller claims had occurred in my postcode area since the 20mph has been in place.