Senedd Election 2026

[Smurph]

That may also be possible. Although the right wing vote tends to skew older and older people are always more likely to vote.

When push comes to shove half of them won't be arsed. Let's hope what happened in Caerphilly is matched throughout the rest of Wales

 

[jack_lord]

is there a poll for Swansea Gower constituency?
Im under the impression 2 Plaid 2 Deform and what other single seats?
Fran being number 1 on the Deform list is going to get a seat and paid 75K for her outrageous views. People on benefits need putting down but before they are put down they will vote for her

 

[Frankie Burrows Cap]

is there a poll for Swansea Gower constituency?
Im under the impression 2 Plaid 2 Deform and what other single seats?
Fran being number 1 on the Deform list is going to get a seat and paid 75K for her outrageous views. People on benefits need putting down but before they are put down they will vote for her

The samples will be so small in each area that I’d take it with a pinch of salt… but this suggests Plaid 3, Reform 2, Conservatives 1

Senedd Election Calculator 2026 | Welsh Parliament Projections

Senedd 2026 seat calculator using D'Hondt proportional representation. Project Welsh Parliament seats with latest polling.

www.pollcheck.co.uk

I’d be amazed if Plaid got near the 38-39% of the vote that’s being predicted based on the previous history of voting in the 3 old Swansea constituencies.

 

[exiledclaseboy]

We really have no clue how tomorrow will pan out given the new system. It’s gonna be exciting.

 

[Frankie Burrows Cap]

We really have no clue how tomorrow will pan out given the new system. It’s gonna be exciting.

Results in each area due to come out between 2pm and 5pm on Friday from what I’ve read today.

 

[jack_lord]

It is ironic that Wales has been fighting against Tory controlled funding of our nation and the quirky way that works and finally seem to be making headway and the amateur party that has one "policy" is potentially going to scrape a win and really screw Wales. How will a Labour government deal with Plaid if they get across the line with an alliance with the greens and Labour? It is also ironic that the reform scaremingers saying vote Plaid you get Labour when it is now possible that they could make a deal with another party and Labour will be a non entity here for at least 5 years.

 

[Malaga]

Just a quick reminder