It wasn’t a lucky seven but will it be a great eight?

[swansnews]

Last July we wrote on these pages ahead of our seventh play off campaign.   The talk was whether it would be a lucky seven for the Swans but we now know that a two legged play off defeat to Brentford made it anything but. Now, almost twelve months on, we have the chance to make […]

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[Sherpa]

If you make the assumption that it's a 1 in 4 chance lottery;

In 8 play off campaigns we would expect to make the Final 4 times and get promoted twice.

We've already done that in 7 campaigns (we actually did it in our first 6).

So statistically this time we should expect a semi final defeat - Good luck Barnsley in the Final. However each campaign is really a discrete event so technically it's still 1 in 4 chance this year, notwithstanding the bookies having us as 4th favourites.

None of which explains the abysmal record of Nottingham Forest and their numerous play off capitulations.