Itchysphincter said:
I haven’t bothered replying until now but being as you keep mentioning it - what convinces you that a vaccine can be found? If it can it could take years of testing and trialling and then it would have to go in to production and we could never keep up with the demand, and that’s not taking in to account any of the long term heath implications it might bring. It’s a ridiculous concept.
Otherwise, I agree with both you and Monty. The only thing that will bring back some kind of normal will be high levels of immunity, but to get there lots of people will die. The strategy has to be more targeted - it’s not a one size fits all solution. Those classed as vulnerable should be protected, both physically and financially. Those in lower risk groups should have to get on with it. Mass testing has always been the key to this and Bojo’s mob have failed miserably. Anti-body testing should also be readily available. The number of deaths doesn’t tell us a great deal until we know how many people have it, or have had it.
The last part that you wrote about students is bollocks. Don’t you think, what with Brexit and now this virus, that we’ve already done enough damage to their futures? What is it with people that they are so bitter that they have to punish young people for the mistakes of older generations? Not only are they blameless, they also have to pay the highest price. Heartbreaking.
Students are a convenient scapegoat who have been served very badly. The government/OFS drive for on campus face to face teaching is a disaster. Whilst we (Liverpool) have done the best we could, bringing people around the U.K. to the hotspots of Liverpool and Manchester was a disaster waiting to happen.
I don’t disagree about antibody testing, though the length of response may prove an issue-
Would exposure in March still have sufficient levels to test positive?
I am more optimistic about a vaccine as well established vaccines out there for coronavirus infections of pigs and chickens. In theory it is fairly straightforward as it has a great big target in the spike protein. Scale up should be much easier than flu which needs either cell culture or embryonated eggs to make the vaccines.
My bigger worry is that protection may not be that great and relatively short in duration .